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Ledger of Suspended Judgment

Before a release I write down my forecast and the market consensus; after it, the gap to the actual number stays on the page. It is less about being right than about seeing where judgment drifted.

1. 01Before · forecast and consensus written down
2. 02Waiting · countdown
3. 03After · actual and the gap

Recent entries

1. Thu 22 Oct 2026, 10:45 NZDTPending

   NZ annual headline CPI, September 2026 quarter

   My forecast

   4.3%

   RBNZ projection (Sep MPS)

   3.9%source ↗

   Actual

   Pending

   Release in00d23h51m26s

   My forecast 4.3%RBNZ projection (Sep MPS) 3.9%

   Release schedule ↗

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